BO3Full series
The estimate starts at minute 10. Before that the model measures worse than guessing the base rate, and a number there would be noise wearing the face of analysis. 10:00
Our own model, fitted by logistic regression on 390 maps from this site’s history, using net worth, experience and buildings still standing. It is NOT the Dota Plus number — Valve does not publish that probability in any public API, so nobody outside the game client can show it.
Drafting
Summer Bear
Picks
LinaPrimary attributeIntelligence9
HoodwinkPrimary attributeAgility13
Centaur WarrunnerPrimary attributeStrength16
Dark WillowPrimary attributeIntelligence17
TinyPrimary attributeStrength24
LinaPrimary attributeIntelligence9HoodwinkPrimary attributeAgility13Centaur WarrunnerPrimary attributeStrength16Dark WillowPrimary attributeIntelligence17TinyPrimary attributeStrength24Bans
Treant ProtectorPrimary attributeStrength3
GrimstrokePrimary attributeIntelligence4
Earth SpiritPrimary attributeStrength6
Winter WyvernPrimary attributeIntelligence7
Shadow FiendPrimary attributeAgility12
PuckPrimary attributeIntelligence20
KunkkaPrimary attributeStrength22
Treant ProtectorPrimary attributeStrength3GrimstrokePrimary attributeIntelligence4Earth SpiritPrimary attributeStrength6Winter WyvernPrimary attributeIntelligence7Shadow FiendPrimary attributeAgility12PuckPrimary attributeIntelligence20KunkkaPrimary attributeStrength22Team Spirit Academy
Picks
Bounty HunterPrimary attributeAgility8
LargoPrimary attributeStrength14
MiranaPrimary attributeAgility15
Outworld DevourerPrimary attributeIntelligence18
Ember SpiritPrimary attributeAgility23
Bounty HunterPrimary attributeAgility8LargoPrimary attributeStrength14MiranaPrimary attributeAgility15Outworld DevourerPrimary attributeIntelligence18Ember SpiritPrimary attributeAgility23Bans
Lone DruidPrimary attributeAgility1
LycanPrimary attributeStrength2
DoomPrimary attributeStrength5
TuskPrimary attributeStrength10
BanePrimary attributeUniversal11
HuskarPrimary attributeStrength19
SlarkPrimary attributeAgility21
Lone DruidPrimary attributeAgility1LycanPrimary attributeStrength2DoomPrimary attributeStrength5TuskPrimary attributeStrength10BanePrimary attributeUniversal11HuskarPrimary attributeStrength19SlarkPrimary attributeAgility21
Panda 
#2081/2
tv/otakerdota #265—- Player 296702734 #12486%(6/7)
🇷🇺waveformn #41833%(2/6)- Player 1114792376 #20950%(5/10)
Lineup taken from the players fielded in this match.
Skill builds
tv/otakerdotaTinySkill order
1
2- 32
- 42
- 53
6
7- 83
9- 104
- 112
- 122
- 133
- 144
- 153
Talents
2 Toss Charges25-8s Avalanche Cooldown
Toss Requires No Target20+60 Tree Grab Base Damage
+90 Avalanche Damage15+10 Strength
+2 Tree Grab Attacks10+150 Avalanche Cast Range
PandaLinaSkill order
1
2- 32
- 42
- 53
6- 74
- 83
- 94
10- 112
- 122
- 133
- 144
- 153
Talents
150% Attack Crit On Targets Affected By Slow Burn25+1s Slow Burn Duration
+10/1% Fiery Soul Per Stack20-20s Laguna Blade Cooldown
+110 Light Strike Array Damage155% Fiery Soul Magic Resist Per Stack
-3s Dragon Slave Cooldown10+25 Damage
waveformnDark WillowSkill order
1
2- 32
- 42
- 53
6- 74
8- 92
- 103
- 114
- 122
- 133
- 144
- 153
Talents
500 Terrorize Impact Damage25+2 Bedlam Attack Targets
-7s Bramble Maze CD20+1.5s Shadow Realm Duration
-20s Terrorize Cooldown15+30 Bedlam Damage
+12 Intelligence10+1.0s Bedlam Duration
Player 296702734Centaur WarrunnerSkill order
1
2
3- 42
- 53
6- 74
- 82
- 93
- 104
- 112
- 122
- 133
- 144
- 153
Talents
+1.0s Hoof Stomp Duration25Gains Retaliate Aura
-25s Stampede Cooldown20+45 Retaliate Damage
+30% Double Edge Strength Damage15+10 Strength
+15 Movement Speed10+4 Health Regen
Player 1114792376HoodwinkSkill order
1
2- 32
- 42
- 53
6- 74
- 83
- 94
10- 112
- 122
- 133
- 144
- 153
Talents
2 Acorn Shot Charges25+400 Sharpshooter Max Damage
+2 Acorn Shot Bounces20Sharpshooter Provides Vision While Charging
+10 Agility15+1 Scurry Ability Charge
+175 Health10+50 Bushwhack Damage
86Ember SpiritSkill order
1
2- 32
4- 53
6- 74
- 82
- 93
- 104
- 112
- 123
- 134
- 142
- 153
Talents
-12s Remnant Charge Restore Time25=2 Sleight of Fist Charges
+50 Searing Chains Damage20+50 Sleight of Fist Hero Damage
+0.8s Searing Chains Duration15+100% Flame Guard Damage Per Second
+165 Flame Guard Barrier Amount10+12 Damage
Kiseki`Outworld DevourerSkill order
1
2
3- 42
- 53
6- 74
- 82
- 93
- 104
- 112
- 122
- 133
- 144
- 153
Talents
-60s Sanity's Eclipse Cooldown25+1.5% Arcane Orb Damage
+12% Astral Imprisonment Mana Capacity Steal20-10s Objurgation Cooldown
+=0.8% of Current Mana as Movement Speed15+5% Essence Flux Mana Restored
+200 Mana10+100 Astral Imprisonment Cast Range
kaeLargoSkill order
1
2- 32
- 42
- 53
- 63
- 74
8
9- 102
- 113
- 124
- 132
- 144
- 153
Talents
2x Frogstomp Stomps/Interval25+30% Amphibian Rhapsody Song Effects
50% Groovin' Armor Aura202 Catchy Lick Charges
+100 Catchy Lick Cast Range / +50 Pull Distance151% Croak of Genius Max Health DPS
2.5x Catchy Lick Health Regen10+15 Frogstomp Damage
AidarBounty HunterSkill order
1
2
3- 42
- 53
6- 74
- 82
- 93
- 104
- 112
- 122
- 133
- 144
- 153
Talents
No Cooldown on Jinada25+250 Shuriken Toss Damage
+50 Jinada Gold Steal20Track Grants Shared Vision
+50 Track Gold15-30% Damage Taken in Shadow Walk
+30 Damage10+0.6s Shuriken Toss Slow
Player 480210721MiranaSkill order
1
2- 32
4- 53
6- 74
- 82
- 93
- 104
- 112
- 122
- 133
- 144
- 153
Talents
-30s Moonlight Shadow Cooldown25+2 Multishot Sacred Arrows
+50 Celestial Quiver Damage20+200 Starstorm Damage
+100 Leap Attack Speed15Moonlight Shadow gives +20% Evasion
+150 Leap Distance10-2s Starstorm Cooldown
Comments